Lightspeed - How to Value L1s? Deep Dive with Standard Chartered's Geoff Kendrick
By Lightspeed
Published on 2025-06-16
Standard Chartered's Geoff Kendrick explains his GDP-based framework for valuing L1 blockchains, why Solana trades at a discount, and how the crypto value chain may evolve.
How to Value Layer 1 Blockchains: Standard Chartered's GDP Framework and What It Means for Solana
The question of how to properly value layer one blockchain tokens remains one of the most contested debates in cryptocurrency markets. Unlike traditional equities with established valuation frameworks built over decades, blockchain networks present unique challenges that blend elements of technology platforms, monetary systems, and sovereign economies. In a recent episode of Lightspeed, Geoff Kendrick from Standard Chartered shared his institutional perspective on this fundamental question, introducing a GDP-based framework that offers fresh insights into how sophisticated investors might approach blockchain valuation—and why Solana may be significantly undervalued by conventional metrics.
The Challenge of Blockchain Valuation in Traditional Finance
Traditional finance has developed robust frameworks for valuing companies over more than a century of market evolution. Price-to-earnings ratios, discounted cash flow models, and comparable company analysis provide investors with standardized tools to assess relative value across different businesses and sectors. Blockchain networks, however, defy easy categorization within these established frameworks.
Layer one blockchains function simultaneously as technology platforms hosting applications, monetary systems with native currencies, and something akin to digital nations or cities with their own economic activity. This multifaceted nature has led to ongoing debates about which metrics actually capture the fundamental value proposition of these networks. The crypto-native community has developed various approaches, from simple metrics like total value locked to more sophisticated measures like REV (Real Economic Value), which Blockworks has championed.
The debate between different valuation approaches has become particularly heated in recent months, especially in the ongoing discourse between the Solana and Ethereum communities. Each framework tends to favor certain networks depending on their design choices and current activity levels, making the choice of methodology as important as the analysis itself. For institutional investors entering the space, this lack of consensus creates additional complexity in building conviction around specific positions.
Understanding the GDP Framework for Blockchain Valuation
Geoff Kendrick's preferred approach to valuing smart contract blockchains centers on what he terms "GDP"—essentially the combined application revenue generated across a blockchain network. This metric attempts to capture the total economic activity facilitated by the network by measuring the fees that end users pay to applications built on these platforms, rather than focusing solely on the fees paid directly to the blockchain's validators.
The elegance of this approach lies in its conceptual alignment with how economists measure the economic output of nations. Just as a country's GDP captures the total value of goods and services produced within its borders, blockchain GDP attempts to measure the total value created through applications operating on a particular network. This creates a framework that institutional investors, already familiar with macroeconomic analysis, can intuitively understand and apply.
When comparing market capitalization to annual GDP across multiple blockchains, Kendrick notes that the resulting ratios cluster within a reasonable range. "You get numbers that look somewhat similar," he explained during the interview. "It's sort of like saying the PE for Apple is 10 and the PE for Microsoft is 12 and for something else it's eight—so the numbers are kind of similar. You're not having like Apple PE in my made up numbers 10 and something else of 350."
This consistency across chains—with ratios typically falling in the range of 50 to 100—suggests the methodology captures something meaningful about relative value. When ratios diverge significantly from this range, Kendrick argues investors can begin asking why, leading to insights about specific network characteristics and risk profiles.
Why Consistency Matters in Cross-Chain Comparison
The ability to compare blockchains on an apples-to-apples basis represents a significant advantage of the GDP framework. Many alternative metrics produce wildly different ratios across chains, making meaningful comparison nearly impossible. When one blockchain shows a ratio of 10 and another shows 350, investors lack a clear framework for understanding whether the difference reflects fundamental value or simply a mismatch between the metric and the asset class.
With the GDP-based approach producing relatively consistent ratios across major blockchains, deviations from the norm become analytically interesting rather than confusing. Kendrick pointed to BNB as an example of a network trading at a premium to its peers on this metric. He attributes this premium to Binance's "captive audience" effect—users of the exchange who naturally gravitate toward the BNB chain for certain activities. This creates a structural demand advantage that markets reasonably value.
Conversely, when a blockchain trades at a discount to peers on this metric, investors can investigate whether the discount reflects genuine risk factors or potential undervaluation. This analytical framework transforms seemingly arbitrary price differences into testable hypotheses about network characteristics and market perceptions.
Solana's Discount and the Concentration Risk Question
Perhaps the most striking finding from Kendrick's analysis is that Solana trades at a notable discount to its peers using the GDP framework. This observation is particularly interesting given Solana's strong performance in terms of application activity and user engagement over recent years. If the network is generating significant economic value through its applications, why does the market assign it a lower multiple?
Kendrick attributes this discount primarily to concentration risk in Solana's use cases. "When I compare their uses against Ethereum and Avalanche and BNB, they're basically entirely meme kind of trading," he noted. "Whereas the others, obviously particularly Ethereum, are a bit more of a portfolio."
This concentration in speculative trading activity—particularly memecoin trading—introduces what equity analysts would recognize as single-sector risk. A company deriving 90% of its revenue from one volatile product line would naturally trade at a lower multiple than a diversified competitor, even if current revenue levels were identical. Markets discount concentrated risk because it implies higher variance in future outcomes.
The parallel to equity analysis is instructive: "If you're all in on one use case and that use case is risky, maybe a PE is lower. If you're kind of diversified, maybe a PE is slightly higher and a bit more stable."
The Diversification Premium and Ethereum's Positioning
Ethereum's higher multiple relative to Solana under this framework reflects what might be called a diversification premium. As the original smart contract platform with the longest operating history, Ethereum hosts a broader range of applications across decentralized finance, non-fungible tokens, enterprise solutions, and emerging use cases. This diversity provides some insulation against the failure of any single application category.
However, this interpretation also suggests a path toward Solana reducing its valuation discount. If the network successfully attracts and retains diverse application categories beyond speculative trading, markets should theoretically assign it a higher multiple over time. The current discount effectively implies that investors see meaningful risk in Solana's concentration, but also creates opportunity if that concentration diminishes.
From Solana's perspective, efforts to attract institutional DeFi, payments applications, decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), and other non-speculative use cases take on additional importance in this framework. Each successful diversification reduces the concentration discount and potentially unlocks multiple expansion independent of raw activity growth.
The Country and City Analogy for Blockchain Networks
Beyond the numerical consistency, Kendrick grounds his GDP framework in a conceptual model that views blockchains as analogous to countries or cities. This mental model provides intuitive anchors for thinking about various blockchain metrics and their relationships to each other.
In this framework, application fees function like economic activity within a nation's borders—the fundamental driver of wealth creation and prosperity. The fees paid directly to the blockchain (captured by metrics like REV) function analogously to taxation—the government's extraction from economic activity. Net token issuance represents something like a government budget deficit or surplus, depending on whether the network creates or destroys tokens on balance.
"The net token issuance, which is essentially equivalent to like a government deficit type measure, will be impacted by the fees that are generated, which is kind of like a tax in the country system," Kendrick explained. "And the fee is impacted by the activity paid by end users, which is my GDP measure here."
This nested hierarchy creates logical consistency: economic activity drives fee generation, fees impact net issuance, and net issuance affects long-term token economics. Each level of the hierarchy connects logically to the next, grounding the analysis in familiar macroeconomic concepts.
How Token Issuance Factors into Valuation
The question of how token issuance should affect valuation represents another contested area in blockchain analysis. Ethereum's shift to negative net issuance following the Merge was celebrated by bulls as creating "ultrasound money" with deflationary characteristics. The subsequent return to positive issuance after the Dencun upgrade sparked debates about whether this materially impacted Ethereum's investment case.
Kendrick takes a pragmatic view on issuance, arguing that it matters "at an extreme" but that current issuance rates for major layer ones fall within an acceptable band. "Most of these chains, net issuance is sort of four or 5% for Solana and others in the top 10 or so coins, as opposed to more extremes like in the earlier days," he noted.
Drawing comparison to traditional markets, Kendrick pointed out that Amazon's average net stock issuance over the past decade has been approximately 1.5% annually. While blockchain issuance rates tend to be somewhat higher, the gap has narrowed considerably from earlier crypto eras. "I think that's all fine. It's not a big deal to be kind of in those low single digit numbers."
This perspective suggests that the issuance debate, while not irrelevant, may receive disproportionate attention relative to its actual impact on long-term value. Activity levels and application diversity likely matter more than small differences in annual issuance rates, at least within the range currently observed across major networks.
The REV Debate and Alternative Valuation Frameworks
The interview also addressed alternative valuation frameworks, particularly the REV (Real Economic Value) metric championed by Blockworks Research. REV measures the fees and tips paid to access block space, essentially capturing the income flowing to validators and, by extension, to token stakers. This represents a more direct measurement of value accruing to token holders through their participation in network security.
Kendrick acknowledged the logic of fee-based approaches but noted a significant practical challenge: "Others, you know, let's just say outright fees or those sorts, seem to be so volatile across blockchains as to be basically unusable."
The volatility problem stems from the inherent bursty nature of blockchain activity. Networks can see massive fee spikes during periods of high demand—memecoin launches, NFT mints, market volatility—followed by extended quiet periods. This creates rolling averages that shift dramatically depending on the lookback window chosen, making consistent comparison difficult.
The GDP framework's focus on application revenue rather than direct blockchain fees provides some smoothing effect, as application activity tends to be somewhat less volatile than fee mechanics that can vary dramatically based on congestion dynamics. However, this comes at the cost of measuring something more removed from direct value accrual to token holders.
The Take Rate Problem and Long-Term Implications
The host raised an important objection to the GDP framework: application revenue doesn't necessarily translate to value capture for the underlying blockchain. An application could generate substantial revenue while settling minimal data to the base layer, creating a disconnect between app success and L1 value.
This critique points to what might be called the "take rate problem"—the relationship between economic activity on applications and the fees actually paid to the blockchain itself. Currently, this relationship varies significantly across applications and chains, creating potential distortions in GDP-based analysis.
Kendrick acknowledged this limitation while suggesting it represents more of a long-term evolution than an immediate concern. "Over time, particularly if take rates change on applications, which I think if we fast forward sometime in the future will be the case. And at that point, you'll also then start to think about should layer ones have the premium that they have today."
This observation points to a potentially significant shift in the crypto value chain over time. Currently, layer one tokens capture the vast majority of aggregate market capitalization in the blockchain ecosystem, with application tokens representing a much smaller share. This resembles a world where Apple and Google capture all smartphone value while Instagram and Uber are worthless—clearly not how traditional technology markets have evolved.
Layer Twos and the Future Value Chain
The discussion of take rates naturally extends to layer two solutions, which Kendrick describes as "completely minting it from a cash perspective." Layer twos currently pay minimal fees to Ethereum while retaining substantial revenue for themselves, creating highly profitable business models that traditional GDP metrics might miss.
"If you do the same type of metrics for the layer twos, they are totally different levels. So the market values them completely differently," Kendrick noted. This divergence in valuation multiples between layer ones and layer twos may reflect genuine differences in token utility and governance, or it may represent temporary market inefficiency as the ecosystem matures.
The broader implication is that blockchain value chains remain in flux. The current structure where layer ones capture most value may represent an early-stage phenomenon rather than an equilibrium state. As applications and layer twos develop more sophisticated business models and potentially their own chains, the distribution of value across the stack could shift dramatically.
Application Breakout Risk and Solana's Response
The potential for successful applications to "break out" from their host layer ones represents a significant strategic concern for blockchain networks. An application generating substantial fees for validators might reasonably ask why it should continue enriching the base layer rather than capturing that value directly through its own chain or layer two solution.
This concern is particularly acute for Solana given its concentration in high-volume trading applications. A breakout by a major memecoin platform could represent both substantial fee loss and a narrative challenge for the network.
The host noted that Solana appears to be thinking about this challenge through mechanisms like application-specific sequencing, which could allow applications to capture more value while remaining connected to the Solana network. This approach attempts to balance the legitimate desire for applications to improve their economics against the benefits of remaining within a shared ecosystem.
"I think Solana has to really make this global shared state vision very appealing and have multiple breakout sectors where you would want to be directly composable because you're all on this ledger together on Solana," the host argued. "If you go be on your own layer one, people can't move assets there very easily. And that's a downside."
The Composability Value Proposition
Solana's potential defense against application breakout centers on the value of composability—the ability for different applications to interact seamlessly because they share the same underlying ledger. In a fragmented ecosystem where applications run on separate chains, moving assets between them requires bridges, waiting periods, and additional friction.
The atomic composability enabled by Solana's single-chain architecture represents a genuine user benefit. A trader can swap tokens, use them as collateral, borrow against them, and invest the proceeds all within a single transaction. This isn't possible across fragmented chains without multiple transactions, bridge delays, and additional smart contract risk.
For this value proposition to work, however, Solana needs multiple compelling applications that users want to compose together. If the ecosystem is dominated by a single use case, the composability benefits diminish. This creates another argument for Solana's diversification efforts: diverse applications create composability opportunities that provide genuine switching costs for would-be breakouts.
Institutional Perspectives on Blockchain Competition
Kendrick's observations about blockchain foundations actively managing narratives for institutional investors reveal an interesting evolution in the space. "I've had lots of conversations recently with people in the organizations behind blockchains, trying to explain the story and the narrative to investors, particularly in trad fi space," he shared. "They're saying, well, actually, we need to tell you what we're doing now. It's kind of like a corporate rather than a decentralized blockchain."
This shift toward corporate-style investor relations represents a maturation of the industry, but also raises questions about the decentralization ethos underlying blockchain technology. Traditional investors expect clear communication about strategy, competitive positioning, and financial metrics—expectations that sit uneasily with fully decentralized governance structures.
For Solana, which has benefited from an engaged and effective foundation, this trend may represent a competitive advantage. The Solana Foundation's ability to articulate a coherent vision, support developer initiatives, and communicate effectively with institutional audiences provides capabilities that more decentralized networks may struggle to match.
The Circular Nature of Value Creation
Kendrick described the relationship between layer ones and applications as "a bit circular," tracing an evolution that may ultimately challenge current valuation paradigms. Layer ones get built first, enabling applications. Applications initially derive value from the underlying infrastructure. But as applications grow, they increasingly create the value in the ecosystem rather than merely consuming it.
This progression mirrors historical patterns in technology platforms. Early in a platform's life, the platform captures most value by virtue of enabling new possibilities. As the ecosystem matures, applications differentiate themselves and capture increasing value. Eventually, the most successful applications may rival or exceed the platform in importance.
In blockchain terms, this suggests a future where application tokens command larger aggregate market caps than layer one tokens—essentially inverting the current structure. While this future remains speculative, it would have profound implications for investment strategies focused primarily on layer one exposure.
What Uniswap's Evolution Might Signal
Kendrick pointed to Uniswap as a potential harbinger of this value chain evolution. As one of the most successful decentralized applications, Uniswap has explored both changes to its fee model (potentially implementing a take rate) and the possibility of launching its own chain.
"At some point, the Uniswap take rate will change dramatically for Uniswap and/or they'll have their own layer one in scale," Kendrick suggested. "And that'll change the business model where we say actually it's the applications that have value, not the blockchains, not the layer ones."
If Uniswap successfully captures more of the value it creates—either through direct fees or through its own chain—it could establish a precedent that other major applications follow. This would represent a fundamental restructuring of blockchain economics, shifting value from infrastructure providers to application developers.
Implications for Layer One Investment Strategies
The potential for value chain evolution has immediate implications for investment strategies. If layer one tokens may eventually lose their dominant position in aggregate market cap, the current premium pricing may be vulnerable to compression over time. Conversely, early identification of applications likely to capture significant value could provide asymmetric returns.
However, timing such a transition is extremely difficult. Layer ones have maintained their dominant position throughout multiple crypto cycles, suggesting the transition—if it occurs at all—may take longer than most investors can afford to wait. In the interim, layer ones with strong application ecosystems and effective strategies for retaining applications may outperform those facing greater breakout risk.
For Solana specifically, the analysis suggests a nuanced positioning. Current valuation discounts may offer opportunity if the network successfully diversifies its use cases and retains key applications. However, concentration in speculative trading represents a genuine risk factor that justifies some degree of discount relative to more diversified alternatives.
The Role of Real Use Cases in Valuation Evolution
Both Kendrick and the host touched on an important qualifier for value chain evolution: the emergence of "real" use cases beyond speculation. Current blockchain economics are heavily influenced by speculative trading—memecoin purchases, NFT flipping, and similar activities. While these generate genuine fees and revenue, they may not provide a stable foundation for long-term ecosystem development.
"Maybe it's because we haven't got like a real use case," Kendrick mused when discussing why applications haven't yet commanded premium valuations. The implication is that speculative use cases, while profitable, may not support the kind of application-level value capture seen in traditional technology markets.
If blockchain applications serving non-speculative needs—payments, identity, supply chain, financial services—achieve significant scale, they would likely command very different valuation multiples than current speculation-focused apps. This creates another avenue for ecosystem evolution: not just shifts between infrastructure and applications, but fundamental changes in what applications exist and how they're valued.
Solana's Path Forward in the Valuation Framework
Applying Kendrick's framework to Solana suggests several strategic priorities for the network. First, diversification beyond memecoin trading would reduce the concentration discount currently built into Solana's valuation. Efforts to attract institutional DeFi, payments applications, and emerging categories like DePIN directly address this discount.
Second, maintaining strong composability benefits provides a retention mechanism for successful applications that might otherwise consider breakout strategies. This requires continued technical development to ensure Solana's shared state model delivers genuine value beyond what fragmented alternatives can offer.
Third, effective communication with institutional investors becomes increasingly important as traditional finance deepens its crypto engagement. Solana's foundation and ecosystem advocates play crucial roles in articulating the network's value proposition in terms that resonate with institutional frameworks like Kendrick's GDP approach.
The combination of these factors—diversification, composability value, and institutional communication—represents a coherent strategy for improving Solana's relative valuation within the market capitalization framework that currently dominates crypto investment.
Looking Ahead: Evolution of Blockchain Valuation
The blockchain valuation debate will likely continue evolving as the industry matures. Current frameworks—whether GDP-based, fee-based, or alternative approaches—represent early attempts to apply analytical rigor to a fundamentally new asset class. As more data accumulates and use cases clarify, more sophisticated models will likely emerge.
For now, Kendrick's GDP framework offers a reasonable starting point for institutional investors seeking to compare blockchains systematically. Its consistency across chains, intuitive country/city analogy, and parallels to equity analysis provide accessible entry points for traditional finance participants. The framework's identification of Solana as trading at a discount represents a potentially actionable insight for investors willing to take on concentration risk in pursuit of returns.
The ultimate test of any valuation framework is whether it helps investors make better decisions over time. As blockchain markets mature, the frameworks that survive will be those that best capture the actual drivers of long-term value—whether those turn out to be GDP-like measures, direct fee capture, or entirely different metrics that haven't yet been conceived.
The Broader Implications for Crypto Markets
Beyond the specific implications for Solana, Kendrick's framework offers broader insights into how crypto markets might professionalize. The increasing involvement of institutional investors brings expectations for analytical rigor, standardized metrics, and rational valuation frameworks. While crypto markets have historically been driven more by narrative and momentum than fundamental analysis, this may gradually change as traditional finance deepens its engagement.
This professionalization could benefit networks like Solana that can articulate clear value propositions in terms institutional investors understand. The network's strong technical performance, active developer ecosystem, and engaged foundation provide building blocks for the kind of investment case that traditional analysts can evaluate. Converting these advantages into higher valuations requires effectively communicating them through frameworks like Kendrick's GDP approach.
At the same time, professionalization may reduce some of the volatility and sentiment-driven pricing that has characterized crypto markets. More fundamental-focused investors would presumably respond less dramatically to narratives and more systematically to metrics—creating more efficient pricing but potentially less opportunity for those who have thrived in less efficient markets.
Conclusion: A Framework for the Next Phase
As the crypto industry enters what many hope will be a new phase of institutional adoption, frameworks for valuing layer one blockchains take on increased importance. Geoff Kendrick's GDP-based approach offers one compelling methodology that resonates with traditional finance concepts while respecting the unique characteristics of blockchain networks.
For Solana, this framework highlights both opportunity and challenge. The network's current valuation discount represents potential upside if diversification efforts succeed and concentration risks diminish. However, the discount also reflects genuine risks that investors reasonably price in. Successfully navigating these dynamics—attracting diverse applications, maintaining composability benefits, and communicating effectively with institutional audiences—will determine whether Solana can capture the valuation upside its activity metrics might suggest.
The broader evolution of value across the blockchain stack—from layer ones to applications—represents perhaps the most important long-term question for the industry. If applications eventually capture the majority of ecosystem value as they have in traditional technology markets, current layer one-focused investment strategies may require significant revision. For now, however, layer ones remain dominant, and frameworks for comparing them systematically provide essential tools for navigating this still-maturing market.
Facts + Figures
- GDP Framework Ratios: When comparing market capitalization to annual app revenue (GDP), major blockchains cluster in ratios between approximately 50 and 100, creating consistency for cross-chain comparison
- Solana's Discount: Solana trades at a notable discount to peers on the GDP metric, which Kendrick attributes to concentration risk from heavy reliance on memecoin and speculative trading activity
- BNB Premium: BNB trades at a slight premium on the GDP framework due to Binance's "captive audience" effect from its exchange user base
- Ethereum's Diversification: Ethereum commands a higher multiple partly due to its portfolio of diverse use cases across DeFi, NFTs, enterprise, and other categories, compared to Solana's trading concentration
- Token Issuance Ranges: Most major layer one blockchains now have net issuance rates in the 4-5% range, which Kendrick considers acceptable and comparable to Amazon's ~1.5% average stock issuance over the past decade
- Ethereum Issuance Shift: Ethereum moved from negative net issuance before the Dencun upgrade (March 2024) to positive net issuance afterward
- Layer Two Economics: Layer two solutions are described as "completely minting it from a cash perspective," paying minimal fees to Ethereum while retaining substantial revenue
- Value Distribution: Layer one tokens have captured the vast majority of aggregate market capitalization throughout blockchain history, with application tokens representing a much smaller share
- Alternative Metrics Volatility: Fee-based metrics (like REV) are described as "so volatile across blockchains as to be basically unusable" for consistent comparison
- Institutional Engagement: Blockchain foundations are increasingly engaging in corporate-style investor relations, explaining narratives and strategies to traditional finance investors
- Application Breakout Risk: Successful applications may eventually "break out" from host layer ones by launching their own chains or layer twos, capturing value they currently pass to base layer validators
- Uniswap as Bellwether: Uniswap's potential moves to change its take rate or launch its own chain could signal broader value chain restructuring
- Composability Value: Solana's single-chain architecture enables atomic composability that fragmented ecosystems cannot replicate, providing potential retention mechanism for applications
Questions Answered
What is the best metric for valuing layer one blockchain tokens?
According to Standard Chartered's Geoff Kendrick, comparing market capitalization to annual "GDP" (combined application revenue generated across a blockchain) provides the most useful framework. This approach produces consistent ratios across major blockchains—typically in the 50-100 range—enabling meaningful cross-chain comparison. Unlike fee-based metrics that can be extremely volatile, the GDP approach provides stability while maintaining logical consistency with macroeconomic concepts familiar to traditional investors. The framework also allows analysts to identify outliers trading at premiums or discounts and investigate why, creating actionable analytical insights.
Why does Solana trade at a discount compared to other layer one blockchains?
Solana trades at a discount on the GDP framework primarily due to concentration risk in its use cases. The network's activity is heavily weighted toward memecoin and speculative trading, while competitors like Ethereum have more diversified application portfolios spanning DeFi, NFTs, enterprise solutions, and other categories. This concentration creates what equity analysts would recognize as single-sector risk—if speculative trading declines, Solana would be more affected than diversified alternatives. Markets rationally discount this risk, similar to how a company dependent on one volatile product line trades at lower multiples than diversified competitors.
Does token issuance matter for blockchain valuation?
Token issuance matters at extremes but likely receives disproportionate attention in current discourse. For major layer ones with issuance rates in the 4-5% range (like Solana), the impact on long-term value is relatively modest. Kendrick compares this to Amazon's approximately 1.5% annual stock issuance over the past decade, suggesting that low single-digit issuance is acceptable. Ethereum's shift from negative to positive net issuance after the Dencun upgrade affected narratives more than fundamentals—activity levels and application diversity likely matter more than small differences in annual issuance rates.
Will layer one tokens maintain their dominant market position?
This remains uncertain and may represent the most important long-term question for blockchain investors. Currently, layer ones capture the vast majority of aggregate crypto market cap while applications represent a small fraction. This resembles a world where iOS captures all smartphone value while apps are worthless—clearly not how traditional technology markets evolved. Over time, as applications develop sophisticated business models and potentially their own chains, value may shift toward applications. Uniswap's potential fee changes or own-chain launch could signal this transition, fundamentally restructuring blockchain economics.
How does Solana protect against successful applications leaving for their own chains?
Solana's primary defense is the composability value enabled by its single-chain architecture. Applications on Solana can interact atomically—a trader can swap tokens, use them as collateral, borrow, and invest in a single transaction. This isn't possible across fragmented chains without bridges, delays, and additional risk. For this defense to work, Solana needs multiple compelling applications that users want to compose together, creating another argument for diversification beyond speculative trading. The network is also exploring application-specific sequencing to let apps capture more value while remaining connected to Solana's shared state.
How do institutional investors approach blockchain valuation differently?
Institutional investors expect analytical rigor, standardized metrics, and frameworks paralleling traditional finance approaches. The GDP methodology resonates because it mirrors how economists measure national economic output and how equity analysts compare companies using price-to-earnings ratios. Blockchain foundations are increasingly engaging in corporate-style investor relations to communicate with these audiences. This professionalization may benefit networks like Solana that can articulate clear value propositions, but it also represents a shift from crypto's historically narrative and momentum-driven pricing toward more fundamental analysis.
What role do layer two solutions play in blockchain economics?
Layer two solutions currently operate highly profitable models, paying minimal fees to their base layers (like Ethereum) while retaining substantial revenue for themselves. When measured using the same metrics applied to layer ones, layer twos show dramatically different valuation ratios, suggesting markets value them quite differently. This disconnect—layer twos being highly profitable while valued lower than base layers—may represent either genuine differences in token utility or temporary market inefficiency as the ecosystem matures. The evolution of layer two economics could influence whether value ultimately flows to infrastructure or application layers.
What does blockchain valuation have to do with countries and cities?
The country/city analogy provides intuitive anchors for understanding blockchain metrics. Application fees function like economic activity (GDP) within borders—the fundamental driver of prosperity. Fees paid to the blockchain function like taxation—government extraction from activity. Net token issuance resembles government budget deficits or surpluses. This nested hierarchy creates logical consistency: economic activity drives fees, fees impact issuance, issuance affects long-term token economics. The analogy helps traditional investors understand unfamiliar metrics through familiar macroeconomic concepts while maintaining analytical coherence across different measurement levels.
On this page
- The Challenge of Blockchain Valuation in Traditional Finance
- Understanding the GDP Framework for Blockchain Valuation
- Why Consistency Matters in Cross-Chain Comparison
- Solana's Discount and the Concentration Risk Question
- The Diversification Premium and Ethereum's Positioning
- The Country and City Analogy for Blockchain Networks
- How Token Issuance Factors into Valuation
- The REV Debate and Alternative Valuation Frameworks
- The Take Rate Problem and Long-Term Implications
- Layer Twos and the Future Value Chain
- Application Breakout Risk and Solana's Response
- The Composability Value Proposition
- Institutional Perspectives on Blockchain Competition
- The Circular Nature of Value Creation
- What Uniswap's Evolution Might Signal
- Implications for Layer One Investment Strategies
- The Role of Real Use Cases in Valuation Evolution
- Solana's Path Forward in the Valuation Framework
- Looking Ahead: Evolution of Blockchain Valuation
- The Broader Implications for Crypto Markets
- Conclusion: A Framework for the Next Phase
- Facts + Figures
-
Questions Answered
- What is the best metric for valuing layer one blockchain tokens?
- Why does Solana trade at a discount compared to other layer one blockchains?
- Does token issuance matter for blockchain valuation?
- Will layer one tokens maintain their dominant market position?
- How does Solana protect against successful applications leaving for their own chains?
- How do institutional investors approach blockchain valuation differently?
- What role do layer two solutions play in blockchain economics?
- What does blockchain valuation have to do with countries and cities?
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